The Outstanding Drama Series looks to be this year's toughest category, with six fabulously worthy series vying for this year's most coveted title. That includes last season's winner, "Homeland," which won the Emmy hardware following its freshman year. Nemetz says the show "only got buzzier in Season 2," so it wouldn't be a shocker if the Showtime series nabbed a two-for-two.
But with competition like AMC's "Breaking Bad" (which is back for its final eight episodes and fresh on Emmy voters' minds) and "Game of Thrones" (which just had a memorable season that culminated with that shocking Red Wedding episode), the race is fierce.
"Mad Men" is a four-time winner in the category, but who can forget last year's total shutout, when the show had no wins in any categories? Indeed, the "Mad Men" era could be over, but it can't be discounted just yet.
Still, even with a list of winning, established shows, Nemetz thinks this season's "dark horse contender" could actually win this thing. That'd be "House of Cards," the groundbreaking political drama that debuted earlier this year on Netflix.
"It really announced Netflix as a big player come awards season," Nemetz says. "That actually is my prediction to win, out of the blue — I think it's gonna come in in its first season and take the Emmy for best drama."
In the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series category, Nemetz wants to give respect where it's due: to all the nominees. Still, he declares, "This is Claire Danes's category until further notice."The biggest threat to Danes — who stars as Carrie Mathison on "Homeland"– could be "Mad Men" star Elisabeth Moss. (But remember, "Mad Men" has yet to win an acting Emmy. Like, ever.) Kerry Washington ("Scandal") could also be one to watch, but Nemetz contends, "Claire Danes pretty much has this award on lockdown."
once joked that he was "not afraid" of the "Mad Men" star.)Who's "always the bridesmaid and never the bride" in the Lead Actor in a Drama Series field? That would be "Mad Men" star Jon Hamm, who's up for his fifth nomination for the role of Don Draper. Nemetz thinks Hamm will be 0 for 6 in this race and says that "Breaking Bad" star Bryan Cranston is the frontrunner. (Cranston's had a healthy competition with Hamm for years, and he even
Kevin Spacey ("House of Cards"), Jeff Daniels ("The Newsroom"), and Hugh Bonneville ("Downton Abbey") round out what Nemetz calls a "very crowded field."
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In the Outstanding Comedy Series category, it's been all in the family for years now. But will ABC's "Modern Family" — which has won three years in a row—continue its reign? "Not any reason to think it won't be four in a row," Nemetz says, but he acknowledges that there are a couple of upstarts that could threaten the show's streak, like "The Big Bang Theory" and "30 Rock."
His verdict? "'30 Rock' will take it," Nemetz says. "In its final season, it is a sentimental favorite; it's won a bunch of Emmys before."
Will Julia Louis-Dreyfus get reelected for her second term as Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series? Nemetz thinks so. He says the "Veep" star is this year's frontrunner, although she has some worthy opponents, like Tina Fey, who just logged her final season as Liz Lemon on "30 Rock," and Fey's BFF Amy Poehler. (The "Parks and Recreation" star is his personal favorite.)
As for the Lead Actor in a Comedy Series category, the competition is led by Jim Parsons of "The Big Band Theory" and "30 Rock" star Alec Baldwin. Nemetz gives the edge to Baldwin, saying, "It's '30 Rock's' final season, and it's the last chance to give Alec Baldwin an award for playing Jack Donaghy."
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But there could be a dark horse in this category too, because Louis C.K. does it all. Nemetz says the "Louie" star "writes, directs, and acts," so this award could reward him for all he does for his show.
The 65th Primetime Emmy Awards will air live from the Nokia Theatre LA Live on Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8 p.m. on CBS.