Big commercial hit and small, creative musical lead Tony Awards

By Patricia Reaney NEW YORK (Reuters) - Broadway is preparing for its biggest night on Sunday with the 2015 Tony Awards, U.S. theater's highest honors, following a record-breaking season with a commercial hit vying with an edgy musical for the top prize. Tony winners Alan Cumming and Kristin Chenoweth, who is also a nominee, will co-host the show that will be broadcast live on CBS television from Radio City Music Hall. The best musical prize has turned into a race with "An American in Paris," with a score by George and Ira Gershwin, and the lesbian coming-out story "Fun Home" in the lead. "An American in Paris" had a slight edge among a poll of 14 theater experts on the awards show tracking website Goldderby.com. "It's the big commercial hit, 'American in Paris' versus the small, critical darling, 'Fun Home,'" said Paul Sheehan, Gold Derby's executive editor. Producer Debbie Bisno described 2014-2015, in which attendance topped 13.1 million and grosses soared to $1.36 billion, as "an incredibly robust, creative season." "The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time," a British import about a 15-year-old math whiz with Asperger Syndrome, is the top bet to take home the Tony for best play. Its young star, recent Juilliard School graduate Alex Sharp, could also top multiple Oscar nominee Bradley Cooper as the physically deformed male in "The Elephant Man" and English actor Bill Nighy's wealthy restaurateur in "Skylight" for the best actor award in a play. "It's a slam dunk (for the play) and it is a slam dunk for him," Playbill magazine's Harry Haun said about Sharp. "Every aspect of that play supports his performance." RIGHT TIME, RIGHT SHOWCASE Oscar and Emmy winner Helen Mirren seems the one to beat for the best actress prize for her role as Queen Elizabeth II in "The Audience," outpacing Carey Mulligan's inner-city schoolteacher in "Skylight" and Elisabeth Moss in the feminist play "The Heidi Chronicles." "It's the right time. It's the right showcase for her and it is deserved," said Sheehan. "This play looks at 60-plus years in the life of the queen. It is an extraordinary performance." For best actor in a musical, most experts predict it will be close call between Michael Cerveris, up for his second Tony as the closeted homosexual father in "Fun Home," and ballet dancer Robert Fairchild in his Broadway debut in "An American in Paris." In the best actress in a musical category Chenoweth will be battling for her second Tony as a Hollywood star in "On the Twentieth Century," against Kelli O'Hara, nominated for the sixth time for "The King and I," and Broadway veteran Chita Rivera, who could nab her third Tony for "The Visit." "I think in the end Kristin Chenoweth will have a pair of Tonys at home," said Joe Dziemianowicz of New York's Daily News newspaper. "The King and I" is the likely front-runner for the Tony for best musical revival against "On The Twentieth Century" and "On The Town." Rock star Sting earned his first nomination for best original score for "The Last Ship," which closed earlier this year, but many experts think Lisa Kron and Jeanine Tesori will win the prize for "Fun Home." "I think 'Fun Home' will win and should win," said Dziemianowicz. (Editing by Piya Sinha-Roy and Alan Crosby)