"The Vampire Diaries"
Chance of renewal: Excellent
The CW is a network that loves to have its shows run for years and years, even if viewership is modest. "Smallville" ran for 10 seasons, and "Supernatural" is set to start its ninth season later this month.
"The Vampire Diaries" will embark on its fifth season this year. With so many new shows starting this fall on the network, it makes sense that this older show will remain on the air through 2014 as a core property. As long as ratings remain steady and recently broken-up couple Ian Somerhalder and Nina Dobrev can keep things cordial on set, this show seems destined for at least a couple more seasons. It's a great guilty pleasure, and the addition of a new doppelganger is bound to stir things up.
Chance of renewal: Fair
While the premiere of "The Originals" will air after "The Vampire Diaries," the rest of the episodes will air on Tuesdays. It does seem that "The Originals" would do best if it aired every week after "TVD," and some fans are expecting the spinoff to take a ratings hit for that very reason.
Klaus is a great character, but will fans respond to him as a protagonist in the same way as when he was a villain? And will he have sufficient chemistry with Hayley to keep viewers engaged? This series has a decent chance at renewal, if only to open up some interesting crossover opportunities with "TVD."
Chance of renewal: Poor
NBC has done well to schedule "Dracula" after the similarly spooky "Grimm" on its fall TV schedule. The cast is also impressive. However, "Dracula" may still struggle to find an audience.
In recent years, a number of NBC shows based on books have been low-rated, including "Do No Harm," "The Firm," and "Hannibal." NBC doesn't have the best track record when it comes to developing exciting shows based on books. Everyone knows how the Dracula story plays out, and that may mean fans aren't exactly rushing to watch this show on the same night it airs.
"The Vampire Diaries" returns on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8 p.m. on The CW; "The Originals" premieres on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 9 p.m. on The CW; "Dracula" premieres Friday, Oct. 25 at 10 p.m. on NBC.
- Vampire Diaries